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Methodology

Humankind has always been driven to explore, and bring certainty to this uncertain world. We believe that collaboration is essential for future exploration. Over the past three years, in addition to our own Huawei experts who have been building their own insights and plans for the future, our GIV@2030 research team has also been communicating extensively with industry scholars, customers, and partners. We have studied data, methodologies, and insight reports from prominent players around the world, including the United Nations, GSMA, and other third-party consulting firms. The GIV@2030 research team used trend extrapolation and time series forecasting to arrive at their findings about the future.



Huawei GIV Predictions for 2030 – L1

CGE Model

Computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is an economic modelling framework that incorporates both the demand and supply-side factors and uses actual economic data to estimate how an economy might react to changes in policy, technology or other external factors.

On the supply-side the CGE model allows us to model the economic impacts of productivity enhancements generated by ICT as a result is well-suited to estimate the economic impacts of ICT and and take into account the interactions and knock-on effects between its different industries.

The CGE model does include carbon accounting, as such we can demonstrate the contribution ICT adoption will have on carbon emissions and the relative carbon intensity of industry.

cge model